Fivethirtyeight 预测与赔率· 100 个市场

W
Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

76%

Texas

$69k 交易量
$192k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

79%

Democrats

$3k 交易量
$19k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

37%

Michigan

$5k 交易量
$33k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
R
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

30%

Yes

$1k 交易量
$431 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring D/STs

NFL (All) · Sports

Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring D/STs

50%

Broncos D/ST

$0 交易量
$31 流动性
4 个月后结束
W
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

14%

Yes

$22k 交易量
$53 流动性
3 个月后结束
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 23?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 23?

94%

$760

$74 交易量
$9k 流动性
1 天后结束
H
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

92%

Yes

$8k 交易量
$26k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
R
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

26%

September 15

$1k 交易量
$153 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

51%

↓ $7,400

$375k 交易量
$87k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k 交易量
$1k 流动性
5 天后结束
R
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

53%

12%

$9k 交易量
$25k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
S
Senate control favorite on November 2?

Senate control favorite on November 2?

67%

Democratic Party

$100 交易量
$450 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
H
House control favorite on November 2?

House control favorite on November 2?

97%

Democratic Party

$2k 交易量
$34k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
C
CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$60 交易量
$595 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$966k 交易量
$307k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
G
GA-05 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

GA-05 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$5k 交易量
$56k 流动性
9 个月后结束
W
What price will LAB hit in 2026?

What price will LAB hit in 2026?

6%

↑ $22

$46k 交易量
$9k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
WA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

WA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$0 交易量
$512 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束