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Fivethirtyeight 预测与赔率· 100 个市场

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W
Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Politics·Senate

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

76%

Texas

$69k 交易量
$191k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Politics·Polling

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

79%

Democrats

$3k 交易量
$19k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
R
Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage

Esports · Rainbow Six Siege

Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group Stage

31%

Five Fears

$0 交易量
$4k 流动性
2 天后结束
R
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

Politics·Midterms

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

30%

Yes

$1k 交易量
$455 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Politics·Senate

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

37%

Michigan

$5k 交易量
$32k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
H
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

Politics·Midterms

House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

92%

Yes

$8k 交易量
$24k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring D/STs

NFL (All) · Sports

Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring D/STs

50%

Broncos D/ST

$0 交易量
$60 流动性
4 个月后结束
W
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

Crypto·Bitcoin

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

14%

Yes

$22k 交易量
$51 流动性
3 个月后结束
R
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

Politics·Senate

Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

26%

September 15

$1k 交易量
$146 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

Mentions·Trump

What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k 交易量
$1k 流动性
5 天后结束
S
Senate control favorite on November 2?

Politics·Midterms

Senate control favorite on November 2?

68%

Democratic Party

$100 交易量
$442 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
R
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

Politics·Midterms

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

53%

12%

$9k 交易量
$28k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Politics·Trump

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
H
House control favorite on November 2?

Politics·Midterms

House control favorite on November 2?

97%

Democratic Party

$2k 交易量
$33k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
C
CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Politics·Midterms

CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$60 交易量
$581 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Politics·Fund

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$966k 交易量
$301k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
G
GA-05 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Politics·Midterms

GA-05 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$5k 交易量
$56k 流动性
9 个月后结束
W
WA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Politics·Midterms

WA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$0 交易量
$425 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit in September 2026?

Finance·Monthly

What will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit in September 2026?

50%

↑ $180

$1k 交易量
$14 流动性
9 天后结束
R
Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

Politics·Midterms

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

75%

40%

$4k 交易量
$3k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

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