Fed 预测与赔率· 1005 个市场

F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

64%

25 bps increase

$11.3m 交易量
$2.4m 流动性
🔥$1.2m 今日
大约 1 个月后结束
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

97%

0 (0 bps)

$53.3m 交易量
$4.2m 流动性
121
3 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

70%

25 bps increase

$1.3m 交易量
$787k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

56%

2 (50 bps)

$635k 交易量
$230k 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

91%

Yes

$149k 交易量
$187k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

40%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$121k 交易量
$229k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

2%

Yes

$238k 交易量
$21k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

49%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m 交易量
$188k 流动性
31
超过 1 年后结束
L
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

5%

December 31

$25k 交易量
$40k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$111k 交易量
$428k 流动性
4 个月后结束
H
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

41%

0

$20k 交易量
$25k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

36%

0

$16k 交易量
$55k 流动性
4 个月后结束
H
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

44%

0

$7k 交易量
$18k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

10%

Yes

$448k 交易量
$3k 流动性
21
3 个月后结束
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

98%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k 交易量
$11k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

11%

December 31

$31k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

10%

June 30, 2027

$48k 交易量
$68k 流动性
9 个月后结束
J
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?

53%

>5%

$0 交易量
$3k 流动性
已结束
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

85%

↑ 4.25%

$1.9m 交易量
$400k 流动性
13
3 个月后结束