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Fed 预测与赔率· 996 个市场

全部PoliticsBusinessFinanceTrumpFederal ReserveFedUnited StatesFed RatesEconomyDerivativesFOMCTrump PresidencyMacro SingleParlaysJpowJerome PowellRecurringEconomic PolicyMacro IndicatorsGlobal RatesRateFed ChairWarshKevin WarshCPI Release
F
Fed Decision in October?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in October?

53%

25 bps increase

$10.3m 交易量
$2.2m 流动性
🔥$1.1m 今日
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in December?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in December?

68%

25 bps increase

$1.2m 交易量
$849k 流动性
🔥$89k 今日
3 个月后结束
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy·Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.2m 交易量
$4.3m 流动性
🔥$61k 今日
121
3 个月后结束
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Economy·Fed

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

87%

Yes

$124k 交易量
$270k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

63%

2 (50 bps)

$605k 交易量
$268k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

46%

0

$20k 交易量
$21k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

38%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$104k 交易量
$195k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

33%

0

$16k 交易量
$43k 流动性
4 个月后结束
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Finance·Business

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

3%

Yes

$236k 交易量
$19k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Finance·Jerome Powell

Fed rate cut by...?

52%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m 交易量
$182k 流动性
31
超过 1 年后结束
F
Fed Decision in January?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$110k 交易量
$497k 流动性
4 个月后结束
H
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

42%

0

$7k 交易量
$14k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Politics·Fed Chair

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

11%

Yes

$448k 交易量
$3k 流动性
21
3 个月后结束
L
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

Finance·Fed

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

5%

December 31

$24k 交易量
$38k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Economy·Fed

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

10%

June 30, 2027

$48k 交易量
$78k 流动性
9 个月后结束
W
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Politics·Fed Chair

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

11%

December 31

$31k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
J
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

Politics·Jerome Powell

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

53%

>5%

$0 交易量
$3k 流动性
已结束
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

96%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k 交易量
$12k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Politics·Jerome Powell

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Politics·Fed Rates

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

53%

4.25%

$6.9m 交易量
$434k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束

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最新Fed预测

特朗普公开侮辱沃什…… ？2026年美联储再次加息？在10月份的美联储会议上有多少人持不同意见？美联储决定（ 9月至12月）丽莎·库克（ Lisa Cook ）在...前正式出任美联储理事在1月份的美联储会议上有多少异议？How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?Fed Decision in January?Fed Decision in December?Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?在……之前担任美联储主席？2026年美联储加息几次？美联储10月份的决定？特朗普是否会试图在...之前解雇鲍威尔担任美联储董事会成员？2026年底的美联储利率是多少？