Fed Rates 预测与赔率· 105 个市场

F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

65%

25 bps increase

$11.3m 交易量
$2.4m 流动性
🔥$1.2m 今日
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

70%

25 bps increase

$1.3m 交易量
$744k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$111k 交易量
$408k 流动性
4 个月后结束
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

98%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k 交易量
$9k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

40%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$121k 交易量
$204k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

85%

↑ 4.25%

$1.9m 交易量
$406k 流动性
13
3 个月后结束
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

44%

≥ 4.5%

$6.9m 交易量
$490k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

56%

2 (50 bps)

$635k 交易量
$233k 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

91%

Yes

$149k 交易量
$184k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

49%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m 交易量
$183k 流动性
31
超过 1 年后结束
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

97%

0 (0 bps)

$53.3m 交易量
$4.2m 流动性
121
3 个月后结束
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

2%

Yes

$238k 交易量
$21k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

41%

0

$20k 交易量
$25k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

44%

0

$7k 交易量
$19k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

1%

Yes

$8k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

95%

↑ 7.00%

$91k 交易量
$3k 流动性
4 个月后结束
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

63%

↓ 0.0030

$193k 交易量
$35k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
B
Bank of Russia decision in December?

Bank of Russia decision in December?

43%

No change

$3k 交易量
$6k 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

67%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$96k 交易量
$4k 流动性
7
4 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$1000k 交易量
$265k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束