Fed Rates 预测与赔率· 106 个市场

F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

53%

25 bps increase

$10.1m 交易量
$2.3m 流动性
🔥$991k 今日
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

68%

25 bps increase

$1.2m 交易量
$815k 流动性
🔥$89k 今日
3 个月后结束
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$110k 交易量
$527k 流动性
4 个月后结束
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

96%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k 交易量
$12k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

38%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$103k 交易量
$191k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

80%

↑ 4.25%

$1.8m 交易量
$338k 流动性
13
3 个月后结束
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

53%

4.25%

$6.9m 交易量
$439k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

62%

2 (50 bps)

$604k 交易量
$243k 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

87%

Yes

$122k 交易量
$247k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

52%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m 交易量
$184k 流动性
31
超过 1 年后结束
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.2m 交易量
$4.2m 流动性
🔥$62k 今日
121
3 个月后结束
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

3%

Yes

$231k 交易量
$19k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

33%

0

$20k 交易量
$25k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

45%

0

$7k 交易量
$14k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

88%

↑ 7.00%

$91k 交易量
$4k 流动性
4 个月后结束
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

63%

↓ 0.0030

$193k 交易量
$29k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
B
Bank of Russia decision in December?

Bank of Russia decision in December?

42%

No change

$3k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

71%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$95k 交易量
$4k 流动性
7
4 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$974k 交易量
$317k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束