Eruption 预测与赔率· 134 个市场

E
Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

11%

Yes

$21 交易量
$51 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
V
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

10%

Yes

$660 交易量
$10 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

6%

Yes

$147k 交易量
$8k 流动性
9
6 个月后结束
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

44%

1

$1.2m 交易量
$7k 流动性
8
6 个月后结束
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$796k 交易量
$40k 流动性
3 个月后结束
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

11%

Yes

$207k 交易量
$2k 流动性
5 个月后结束
1
100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

3%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$4k 流动性
4
5 个月后结束
5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

25%

Yes

$314k 交易量
$607 流动性
5 个月后结束
N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

17%

Yes

$247k 交易量
$1k 流动性
17
5 个月后结束
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

92%

80-99

$7k 交易量
$3k 流动性
大约 1 小时后结束
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k 交易量
$880 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

94%

President Xi

$3k 交易量
$628 流动性
5 天后结束
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

36%

80-99

$2k 交易量
$3k 流动性
7 天后结束
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

25%

60-79

$24 交易量
$2k 流动性
10 天后结束
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

65%

80-99

$5k 交易量
$1k 流动性
3 天后结束
1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1%

Yes

$117k 交易量
$4k 流动性
5
5 个月后结束
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

95%

Iran

$6k 交易量
$3k 流动性
5 天后结束
H
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

51%

≤6

$5k 交易量
$11k 流动性
6 天后结束
H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide  September 21 - September 27?

51%

0

$2k 交易量
$8k 流动性
6 天后结束
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

49%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k 交易量
$14k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束