Electoral College 预测与赔率· 138 个市场

W
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress?
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W
Will there be a 269-269 tie in Electoral College?

No

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E
Electoral College Margin of Victory?

Electoral College Margin of Victory?

GOP by 65-104

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P
Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

GOP by 1-2%

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408
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E
Ecuador Presidential Election

Ecuador Presidential Election

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

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1,324
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C
California Presidential Election Winner

Kamala Harris

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48
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C
Croatia Presidential Election

Croatia Presidential Election

Zoran Milanović

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N
Nebraska Presidential Election Winner

Donald Trump

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#
# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

220-224

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P
Poland Presidential Election

Poland Presidential Election

Karol Nawrocki

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N
Nevada Margin of Victory

Nevada Margin of Victory

Trump by 3.0-4.0%

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#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

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C
Colorado Presidential Election Winner

Kamala Harris

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R
RFK Jr. popular vote share?

RFK Jr. popular vote share?

<1%

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P
Popular Vote Winner 2024

Popular Vote Winner 2024

Donald Trump

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U
UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

UK Election · Global Elections

UK Election: Labour % of the vote?

30-35%

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W
Who wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Who wins Presidency + Popular Vote?

Republicans win both

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780
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(
(Old) Romania Election

eu · Europe

(Old) Romania Election

Other (incl. Georgescu)

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R
Reform share of votes in UK election?

11-15%

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T
Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?

Trump by <1.4 (or Biden ahead)

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