Economic Policy 预测与赔率· 107 个市场

I
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

48%

<2.75%

$608 交易量
$10k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

18%

Yes

$436k 交易量
$1k 流动性
19
3 个月后结束
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

67%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$97k 交易量
$7k 流动性
7
4 个月后结束
W
What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

57%

Melania

$36k 交易量
$129k 流动性
3
大约 21 小时后结束
W
Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

89%

Ra'am

$6k 交易量
$30k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

69%

Yashar

$3k 交易量
$31k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束
B
Bank of Israel Decision in October?

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

78%

No Change

$31k 交易量
$16k 流动性
27 天后结束
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

40%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$121k 交易量
$247k 流动性
3 个月后结束
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

44%

5.9%+

$14k 交易量
$6k 流动性
22 天后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m 交易量
$280k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m 交易量
$296 流动性
135
3 个月后结束
R
Reserve Bank of India decision in October

Reserve Bank of India decision in October

83%

25 bps increase

$23k 交易量
$10k 流动性
13 天后结束
B
Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

83%

No change

$136k 交易量
$43k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

63%

None before 2027

$73k 交易量
$245k 流动性
3 个月后结束
C
Core PCE MoM - August 2026

Core PCE MoM - August 2026

70%

0.3%

$19k 交易量
$6k 流动性
6 天后结束
J
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

5%

Yes

$4k 交易量
$142 流动性
1
7 个月后结束
U
UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

12%

Yes

$15k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束
C
Core PCE YoY - August 2026

Core PCE YoY - August 2026

38%

3.4%

$52k 交易量
$8k 流动性
6 天后结束
U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

8%

Yes

$2.1m 交易量
$48k 流动性
3 个月后结束
E
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

48%

0-1.0%

$54k 交易量
$14k 流动性
4 个月后结束