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Economic Forecasting 预测与赔率· 101 个市场

全部SportsPoliticsDeprec USA ElectionBusinessFinanceTrumpFederal ReserveEconomy1Interest RatesGDPAIEmploymentUS PoliticsLayoffsJobsUS ElectionTechGlobal ElectionsFed RatesGolf2026 Winter GamesKamalaTrackToday's OlympicsEconomyBlsAPDeclareElection NightAssocaited PressGerman PoliticsMacro InflationMacro UnemploymentMacro JobsPayrollNonfarmDeprec German Election2025 PredictionsReportCPIEconomic PolicyWorldBig TechMacro IndicatorsDavid Friedberg
W
Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?

All

Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?

$81k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
E
Election called by...?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Election called by...?

Wednesday, Nov 6

$146k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
J
January Unemployment Rate

Economy·Business

January Unemployment Rate

≤4.0%

$48k 交易量
$0 流动性
45
已结束
G
Ghana Presidential Election

Politics·World Elections

Ghana Presidential Election

John Mahama

$348k 交易量
$0 流动性
43
已结束
G
Golf Winner (W)

2026 Winter Games · Sports

Golf Winner (W)

Other

$14k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
C
Croatia Presidential Election

Politics·Global Elections

Croatia Presidential Election

Zoran Milanović

$5.1m 交易量
$0 流动性
139
已结束
N
November Inflation

Economy·Business

November Inflation

2.7%

$396k 交易量
$0 流动性
21
已结束
H
How many jobs added in January?

Economy·Business

How many jobs added in January?

100-150k

$138k 交易量
$0 流动性
88
已结束
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Finance·Fed Rates

Fed rate cut by...?

September 18

$31.5m 交易量
$0 流动性
267
已结束
N
November Unemployment Rate

Economy·Business

November Unemployment Rate

4.2%

$68k 交易量
$0 流动性
45
已结束
5
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?

Economy·GDP

5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?

No

$357k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech·Business

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Up

$9k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
E
Ecuador Presidential Election

Politics·World Elections

Ecuador Presidential Election

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

$4.9m 交易量
$0 流动性
1,324
已结束
H
How many Jobs added in August?

Politics·Business

How many Jobs added in August?

100-150k

$201k 交易量
$0 流动性
8
已结束
H
How many jobs added in September?

Politics·employment

How many jobs added in September?

>250k

$221k 交易量
$0 流动性
10
已结束
5
5k Winner (W)

Sports · Today's Olympics

5k Winner (W)

Beatrice Chebet (KEN)

$13k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
U
US recession in 2025?

Economy·Business

US recession in 2025?

No

$11.7m 交易量
$0 流动性
707
已结束
N
Negative GDP growth in 2025?

Economy·GDP

Negative GDP growth in 2025?

No

$203k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束
J
January Inflation - Annual

Economy·Business

January Inflation - Annual

≥2.9%

$264k 交易量
$0 流动性
172
已结束
N
Next Chancellor of Germany?

Politics·German Politics

Next Chancellor of Germany?

Friedrich Merz (CDU)

$40.9m 交易量
$0 流动性
930
已结束

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