Climate Science 预测与赔率· 120 个市场

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Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$23k 流动性
3 个月后结束
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Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 交易量
$328 流动性
9 个月后结束
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

95%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$3k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

78%

Over 2.5

$51k 交易量
$12k 流动性
6 个月后结束
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Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?

Yes

$105k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
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What will Bernie Sanders say during his Minneapolis Rally?

Hell 2+ times

$25k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy Tour?

Healthcare 4+ times

$46k 交易量
$0 流动性
5
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What will Bernie Sanders and Zohran Mamdani say at NYC Rally on April 12?

Billionaire 5+ times

$102k 交易量
$0 流动性
12
已结束
S
Switzerland’s March Referendum: What will pass?

Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
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What will Trump say this week (November 10 - 16)?

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$93k 交易量
$0 流动性
17
已结束
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What will Obama say during DNC speech?

What will Obama say during DNC speech?

Hope

$789k 交易量
$0 流动性
105
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What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?

What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?

CIA

$286k 交易量
$0 流动性
47
已结束
W
What will the next Pope believe in?

What will the next Pope believe in?

Promoting a “Synodal Church”

$398k 交易量
$0 流动性
9
已结束
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What will Powell say during Framework Review speech on May 15?

Recession

$51k 交易量
$0 流动性
16
已结束
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What will Gretchen Whitmer say during DNC speech?

Michigan

$19k 交易量
$0 流动性
14
已结束
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What will Trump say during Starmer presser February 27?

Ukraine 10+ times

$121k 交易量
$0 流动性
52
已结束
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What will Trump say during Macron presser today?

US / United States 7+ times

$47k 交易量
$0 流动性
44
已结束
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What will Pete Buttigieg say during DNC speech?

What will Pete Buttigieg say during DNC speech?

Manufacturing

$31k 交易量
$0 流动性
14
已结束
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Will August 2021 average global temperature be the highest August temperature on record?
$18k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
$39k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束