Climate Change 预测与赔率· 121 个市场

Weather·Science

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k 交易量

$11k 流动性

3 个月后结束

Politics·Fund

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$999k 交易量

$283k 流动性

3 个月后结束

Crypto·Airdrops

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m 交易量

$302 流动性

135

3 个月后结束

Weather·SNOW

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k 交易量

$7k 流动性

2 个月后结束

Weather·climate

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

50%

1.35–1.39ºC

$3k 交易量

$18k 流动性

大约 1 个月后结束

Culture·Weather & Science

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

$3.5m 交易量

$217k 流动性

5 个月后结束

Crypto·Recurring

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

42%

↓ 0.40

$81k 交易量

$3k 流动性

3 个月后结束

Weather·climate

Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

87%

Yes

$951 交易量

$264 流动性

6 个月后结束

Weather·climate

What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

78%

Over 2.5

$51k 交易量

$18k 流动性

6 个月后结束

Weather·climate

Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

95%

Yes

$9k 交易量

$3k 流动性

6 个月后结束

Crypto·Recurring

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

70%

↑ $6

$849k 交易量

$32k 流动性

3 个月后结束

Politics·Trump

What will Trump say this week (November 10 - 16)?

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$93k 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

Politics·DNC

What will Obama say during DNC speech?

Hope

$789k 交易量

$0 流动性

105

已结束

Politics·RFK Jr

What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?

CIA

$286k 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

Culture·New Pope

What will the next Pope believe in?

Promoting a “Synodal Church”

$398k 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

Politics·DNC

What will Gretchen Whitmer say during DNC speech?

Michigan

$19k 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

Politics·DNC

What will Pete Buttigieg say during DNC speech?

Manufacturing

$31k 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

Science · Global Temp

Global Heat Increase 2024

1.28-1.30

$14.5m 交易量

$0 流动性

133

已结束

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Climate Change 预测与赔率· 121 个市场

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

First snow of the 2026 season

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What will Trump say this week (November 10 - 16)?

What will Obama say during DNC speech?

What will RFK Jr. say during Friday address?

What will the next Pope believe in?

What will Gretchen Whitmer say during DNC speech?

What will Pete Buttigieg say during DNC speech?

Global Heat Increase 2024

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事件状态

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