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538 预测与赔率· 151 个市场

全部PoliticsJoe BidenDeprec USA ElectionTrumpElectionsUnited StatesBidenForecastPublic Opinion538 Approval RatingUS ElectionGlobal Elections538KamalaFivethirtyeightPollingFivethiryeightHorse RaceModelTrump PresidencyApprovalRecurringEarn 4%PresidentMain Election
W
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Elections·US Election

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

66%

Democratic

$2.4m 交易量
$650k 流动性
94
超过 2 年后结束
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Elections·President

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$708.6m 交易量
$60.0m 流动性
🔥$376k 今日
1,037
超过 2 年后结束
W
Will Trump's 538 favorability rating be 37.4% or higher on April 14?

All

Will Trump's 538 favorability rating be 37.4% or higher on April 14?

Yes

$41 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?

Politics·All

Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?

Yes

$3k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
5
538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day?

All

538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day?

$8k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
5
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?

All

538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?

$2k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
5
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9?

All

538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9?

$9k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17?

All

Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17?

Yes

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
5
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on August 15?

All

538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on August 15?

$6k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?

All

Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?

$81k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
T
Trump 538 approval rating on March 7?

Approval · Trump Presidency

Trump 538 approval rating on March 7?

47.5-47.9

$342k 交易量
$0 流动性
31
已结束
W
Who will lead on 538 on Friday?

Politics·fivethirtyeight

Who will lead on 538 on Friday?

Trump

$92k 交易量
$0 流动性
6
已结束
K
Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% Friday?

Politics·Polling

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% Friday?

Yes

$39k 交易量
$0 流动性
4
已结束
W
Who will 538 project as favorite on July 26?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Who will 538 project as favorite on July 26?

Trump

$12k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
W
Who will 538 project as favorite on Friday?

Politics·Biden

Who will 538 project as favorite on Friday?

Trump

$224k 交易量
$0 流动性
32
已结束
T
Trump flips Kamala on 538 before October?

Politics·Kamala

Trump flips Kamala on 538 before October?

No

$349k 交易量
$0 流动性
14
已结束
T
Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 28?

Trump Presidency · Trump

Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 28?

47.5-47.9

$406k 交易量
$0 流动性
528
已结束
W
Will Biden's 538 approval reach 40% in July?

Politics·Biden

Will Biden's 538 approval reach 40% in July?

No

$22k 交易量
$0 流动性
10
已结束
5
538 favorite when forecast is turned on?

Politics·Trump

538 favorite when forecast is turned on?

Kamala

$141k 交易量
$0 流动性
21
已结束
T
Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 21?

Trump Presidency · Trump

Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 21?

48.5-48.9%

$247k 交易量
$0 流动性
528
已结束

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