Vacancy Predictions & Odds· 120 markets

S
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

16%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

14%

7.3M to 7.4M

$8k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$106k Vol.
$181k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

97%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$392k Vol.
$639k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

85%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$10k Liq.
11
Ends in 4 months
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

50%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

61%

Democrats Sweep

$12.9m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$117k today
292
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 4 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

15%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$357 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

33%

22–23

$696k Vol.
$76k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?

94%

Republican Party

$2k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

61%

Democratic Party

$4.8m Vol.
$724k Liq.
142
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the Wisconsin State Senate in 2026?

79%

Democratic Party

$2k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?

Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?

64%

Republican Party

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?

43%

6

$29k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?

66%

Democratic Party

$6k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

78%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$89k Vol.
$20k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$946k Vol.
$244k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Village vs TenToesDown (BO3) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

27%

Village

$12 Vol.
$83 Liq.
Ended