Vacancy Predictions & Odds· 120 markets

S
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

24%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

23%

7.3M to 7.4M

$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$105k Vol.
$230k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

97%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$759 Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$358k Vol.
$632k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

84%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$13k Liq.
11
Ends in 4 months
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

52%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

60%

Democrats Sweep

$12.7m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$79k today
292
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 4 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$336 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

22–23

$695k Vol.
$75k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?

94%

Republican Party

$2k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

61%

Democratic Party

$4.8m Vol.
$662k Liq.
🔥$51k today
142
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the Wisconsin State Senate in 2026?

89%

Democratic Party

$2k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
P
Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?

Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?

59%

Republican Party

$3k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?

45%

6

$28k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?

63%

Democratic Party

$5k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

77%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$89k Vol.
$10k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$285k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Village vs TenToesDown (BO3) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

27%

Village

$12 Vol.
$83 Liq.
Ended