Trudeau Out Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

P
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

12%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
K
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

11%

Yes

$54k Vol.
$1k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
M
Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

5%

Yes

$256k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

36%

None before 2027

$591k Vol.
$216k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

46%

Yes

$124.4m Vol.
$41k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

63%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

4%

Yes

$107 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

27%

December 31, 2026

$356k Vol.
$7k Liq.
112
Ends in 14 days
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$21k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
C
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

4%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

56%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$259 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
D
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

5%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

5%

Yes

$641k Vol.
$19k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
M
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

3%

Yes

$167k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trudeau out before April?

Trudeau out before April?

Yes

$425k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended
T
Trudeau out in 2024?

Trudeau out in 2024?

No

$433k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
J
Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April?

Yes

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
T
Trudeau out in 2025?

Trudeau out in 2025?

Yes

$401k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended
T
Trudeau resigns before February?

Yes

$654k Vol.
$0 Liq.
-1
Ended
T
Trudeau resigns by Friday?

No

$523k Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended