Taiwan Predictions & Odds· 244 markets

W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%

Yes

$42.7m Vol.
$584k Liq.
73
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

0%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$101k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

2%

Yes

$27k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

12%

Yes

$3.2m Vol.
$187k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$3.4m Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

4%

Yes

$371k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

9%

Yes

$455k Vol.
$80k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
L
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

4%

Yes

$106k Vol.
$12k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

52%

Melania

$26k Vol.
$69k Liq.
2
Ends in about 23 hours
W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

18%

Vietnam

$396k Vol.
$101k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

23%

Japan

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

89%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$184k Vol.
$127k Liq.
41
Ends in 9 months
T
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

25%

Yes

$138k Vol.
$786 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

3%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner

92%

Chen Su-yueh

$15k Vol.
$63k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$797k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner

Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner

59%

Cheng Chao-fang

$16k Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
N
Nantou County Magistrate Election Winner

95%

Hsu Shu-hua

$6k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner

87%

Wu Hsiu-hua

$10k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 2 months