Taiwan Predictions & Odds· 244 markets

W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%

Yes

$42.8m Vol.
$651k Liq.
🔥$148k today
73
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

0%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$94k Liq.
🔥$63k today
Ends in 6 days
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

1%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

12%

Yes

$3.2m Vol.
$209k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$3.4m Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

9%

Yes

$455k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

4%

Yes

$371k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

4%

Yes

$106k Vol.
$12k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

22%

Japan

$662k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

18%

Vietnam

$396k Vol.
$133k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

89%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$184k Vol.
$129k Liq.
41
Ends in 9 months
T
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

26%

Yes

$138k Vol.
$799 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

3%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner

92%

Chen Su-yueh

$15k Vol.
$58k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$797k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner

Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner

57%

Cheng Chao-fang

$16k Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
N
Nantou County Magistrate Election Winner

96%

Hsu Shu-hua

$6k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner

84%

Wu Hsiu-hua

$13k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
L
Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner

78%

Wang Chung-ming

$8k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months