Taiwan Predictions & Odds· 119 markets

W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%

Yes

$42.6m Vol.
$572k Liq.
🔥$106k today
73
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

2%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

0%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

5%

Yes

$3.4m Vol.
$93k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

9%

Yes

$453k Vol.
$87k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

3%

Yes

$370k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

12%

Yes

$3.2m Vol.
$177k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
L
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

4%

Yes

$106k Vol.
$12k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

88%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$182k Vol.
$86k Liq.
41
Ends in 9 months
W
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

23%

Japan

$661k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

20%

Mexico

$394k Vol.
$118k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
T
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

25%

Yes

$138k Vol.
$795 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

3%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner

92%

Chen Su-yueh

$15k Vol.
$61k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$796k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner

Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner

63%

Cheng Chao-fang

$15k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
N
Nantou County Magistrate Election Winner

95%

Hsu Shu-hua

$6k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
T
Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner

87%

Wu Hsiu-hua

$10k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$951k Vol.
$148k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months