Supreme Court Predictions & Odds· 232 markets

A
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

15%

Yes

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63
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W
Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

71%

December 31

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N
North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner

North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner

81%

Anita Earls (D)

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1
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S
Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027?

13%

Yes

$300 Vol.
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S
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

10%

Yes

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2
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W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4)

95%

Iran

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W
Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?

Poltics · nomination

Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?

50%

Candidate A

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1
Ends in over 2 years
S
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

39%

December 31

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6
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S
SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

6%

Yes

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S
SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?

SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?

51%

Yes

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W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
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8
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W
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

13%

June 30, 2027

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I
Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?

74%

Yes

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W
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

41%

June 30, 2027

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7
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I
Israel Election: Ofer Cassif Effectively Banned?

16%

Yes

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Ends in 29 days
I
Israel Election: Ra'am Effectively Banned?

2%

Yes

$164 Vol.
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I
Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned?

4%

Yes

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I
Israel Election: RZP-Zehut Effectively Banned?

1%

Yes

$253 Vol.
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Ends in 29 days
I
Israel Election: The Democrats Effectively Banned?

1%

Yes

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A
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

3%

Yes

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28
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