Secretary Of State For Health And Social Care Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

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RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

19%

Yes

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W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

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1
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H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory

50%

Another candidate wins

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Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner

87%

Sagal Abdi-Wali

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9
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H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?

23%

30-35%

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Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

6%

Yes

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1
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H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?

30%

40-45%

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H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

7%

Yes

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Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

17%

Yes

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W
Who will Trump pick for Secretary of State?

Marco Rubio

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87
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Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by...?

May 15

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3
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Next UK Culture Secretary in 2026?

Next UK Culture Secretary in 2026?

No next Culture Secretary in 2026

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N
Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?

Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?

No next Home Secretary in 2026

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3
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N
Next UK Transport Secretary in 2026?

Next UK Transport Secretary in 2026?

No next Transport Secretary in 2026

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W
Who will Trump pick for HHS Secretary?

RFK Jr.

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Who will be Trump's Health & Human Services Secretary?

RFK Jr.

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RFK Jr. Out by...?

RFK Jr. Out by...?

September 30

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N
Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?

Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?

Ed Miliband

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8
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H
How many Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?

52

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