Resignations Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$106k Vol.
$170k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?

Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?

6%

October 31

$10k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

14%

7.2M to 7.3M

$8k Vol.
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Ends in 8 days
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

30%

Dan Scavino

$1.4m Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
N
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

51%

Yes

$124.4m Vol.
$74k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

3%

Yes

$23k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

3%

Yes

$539k Vol.
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29
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

62%

None before 2027

$69k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
Q
Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?

Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?

3%

Yes

$843 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

11%

Dong Jun

$219k Vol.
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19
Ends in 3 months
F
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

10%

December 31, 2026

$17k Vol.
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Ends in about 1 month
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

10%

Yes

$142 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$385k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

23%

Yes

$19k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
W
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

7%

Sundar Pichai - Google

$715k Vol.
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20
Ends in 3 months
J
John Fetterman out by...?

John Fetterman out by...?

2%

December 31

$84k Vol.
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1
Ends in 3 months
Q
Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?

22%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
E
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

5%

Yes

$639k Vol.
$32k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
K
Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

18%

December 31

$1.7m Vol.
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143
Ends in 3 months
C
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

5%

Yes

$287k Vol.
$12k Liq.
71
Ends in 3 months