Resign Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

W
Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

3%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$19k Liq.
43
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

3%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

3%

Yes

$539k Vol.
$53k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months
N
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

53%

Yes

$124.4m Vol.
$70k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$105k Vol.
$165k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
E
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

6%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$24k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
C
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

4%

Yes

$287k Vol.
$11k Liq.
71
Ends in 3 months
J
John Fetterman out by...?

John Fetterman out by...?

3%

December 31

$83k Vol.
$70k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

9%

Dong Jun

$214k Vol.
$79k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
M
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

13%

Yes

$1.7m Vol.
$54k Liq.
106
Ends in 4 months
T
Trump out as President by September 30?

Trump out as President by September 30?

1%

Yes

$1.1m Vol.
$202k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$118k Vol.
$17k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
T
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

6%

Yes

$11.7m Vol.
$314k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

9%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$501 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

23%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$805 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

14%

Yes

$484k Vol.
$4k Liq.
69
Ends in 3 months
S
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

8%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...?

8%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$375 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
J
JD Vance out as VP by...?

JD Vance out as VP by...?

5%

Yes

$243k Vol.
$21k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$349k Vol.
$395k Liq.
Ends in 3 months