Repo Rate Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

R
Reserve Bank of India decision in October

Reserve Bank of India decision in October

83%

25 bps increase

$23k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
P
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

99%

No Change

$55k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
B
Bank of Russia decision in December?

Bank of Russia decision in December?

43%

No change

$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

48%

≥ 4.5%

$6.9m Vol.
$440k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

50%

No change

$18k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

72%

No change

$51k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

51%

No change

$71k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of England decision in November?

Bank of England decision in November?

70%

25 bps increase

$143k Vol.
$100k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

53%

No change

$198k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

87%

↑ 4.25%

$1.9m Vol.
$404k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
E
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

66%

25 bps increase

$18k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

67%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$97k Vol.
$6k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

20%

4.5%

$114 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

65%

25 bps increase

$11.6m Vol.
$2.6m Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

71%

25 bps increase

$1.3m Vol.
$867k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

55%

2 (50 bps)

$638k Vol.
$241k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

69%

No change

$68k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
B
Bank of Russia decision in October?

Bank of Russia decision in October?

70%

No Change

$40k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

91%

Yes

$149k Vol.
$188k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Canada Decision in October?

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

54%

No Change

$106k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month