Redistricting Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

M
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

72%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$45 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

36%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$170 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

3%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$13k Liq.
22
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

99%

Florida

$414k Vol.
$209k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

36%

22–23

$696k Vol.
$67k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

66%

Democrats Sweep

$13.4m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$348k today
296
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
B
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

85%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

60%

Iowa

$852 Vol.
$567 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

54%

Yes

$44k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

31%

Below 190

$311k Vol.
$249k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?

66%

Democratic Party

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

39%

Michigan

$5k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

28%

115-120m

$31k Vol.
$104k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

77%

Democrats

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
C
Closest Senate Race?

Closest Senate Race?

14%

Texas

$46k Vol.
$181k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
CA-12 House Election Winner (Individual)

CA-12 House Election Winner (Individual)

95%

Lateefah Simon

$3k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Closest Governor's Race?

Closest Governor's Race?

14%

Ohio

$20k Vol.
$119k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month