Q4 Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

46%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
G
GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

91%

4.0–5.0%

$910k Vol.
$97k Liq.
17
Ends in 4 months
T
TX-04 House Election Winner

TX-04 House Election Winner

95%

Pat Fallon (R)

$43k Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
G
GA-04 House Election Winner

GA-04 House Election Winner

98%

Hank Johnson (D)

$48k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia Parliamentary Election: 4th Place

100%

New People (NL)

$31k Vol.
$42k Liq.
1
Ended
U
US recession by end of 2027?

US recession by end of 2027?

35%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

40%

0.4–0.5%

$22k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
E
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

54%

0-1.0%

$53k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
N
NJ-04 House Election Winner

NJ-04 House Election Winner

96%

Chris Smith (R)

$19k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
WA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

WA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$0 Vol.
$610 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

90%

1-2%

$93k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 months
U
UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
C
CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

72%

Mike Thompson

$12k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
MA-04 House Election Winner

MA-04 House Election Winner

97%

Jake Auchincloss (D)

$47k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
NV-04 House Election Winner

NV-04 House Election Winner

95%

Steven Horsford (D)

$19k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026?

4%

Yes

$225 Vol.
$301 Liq.
Ends in 5 months
M
MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month