Portugal Election Predictions & Odds· 145 markets

W
Which Party wins most seats in Portugal election?

AD (Democratic Alliance)

$3.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
100
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T
Turnout in Portugal Presidential Election Second Round

50-52%

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
253
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P
Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner Lisbon District

António José Seguro (IND)

$170k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
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P
Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 3rd Place

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$141k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
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P
Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 4th Place

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$383k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
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P
Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 2nd Place

André Ventura (CH)

$1.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
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P
Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

António José Seguro (IND)

$3.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
151
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Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

André Ventura (CH)

$2.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
91
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P
Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

$136.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,652
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P
Portugal Legislative Election

Chega >18% of votes?

$82k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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P
Portugal snap election called before July?

Yes

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
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P
Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: Second Round

Seguro 30-40%

$3.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
60
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P
Portugal Presidential Election Margin of Victory: First Round

Seguro Victory

$207k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
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N
Next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?

Luís Montenegro

$5.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
71
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Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?

No

$246k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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