Opus Predictions & Odds· 148 markets

N
Next Claude Opus: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

35%+

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

July 24

$531k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$233k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

August 31

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude Opus 4.8: Arena Debut?

<1480

$93k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
C
Claude Opus 4.7: Arena Debut?

1480+

$194k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
'
'Opus' Opening Weekend Box Office

<3m

$280k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
B
Best AI model on September 14?

claude-fable-5.1-max

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on September 7?

Other

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on August 31?

Best AI model on August 31?

claude-opus-5-max

$71k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on August 24?

Best AI model on August 24?

claude-opus-5-high

$63k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on August 17?

Best AI model on August 17?

claude-opus-5-max

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on August 10?

Best AI model on August 10?

Other

$112k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on August 1?

Best AI model on August 1?

Other

$132k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on July 25?

Best AI model on July 25?

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on July 18?

Best AI model on July 18?

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on July 11?

Best AI model on July 11?

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on July 4?

Best AI model on July 4?

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$45k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on June 27?

Best AI model on June 27?

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on June 20?

Best AI model on June 20?

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended