Musk V Altman Predictions & Odds· 145 markets

W
Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

99%

Elon Musk

$18k Vol.
$87k Liq.
1
Ends in 15 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

27%

Zohran Mamdani

$66k Vol.
$535k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?

39%

220-239

$1.1m Vol.
$401k Liq.
🔥$322k today
Ends in 2 days
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 21 - September 23, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 21 - September 23, 2026?

85%

65-89

$415k Vol.
$98k Liq.
🔥$258k today
Ends in about 9 hours
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?

24%

200-219

$347k Vol.
$276k Liq.
🔥$166k today
Ends in 6 days
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?

20%

200-219

$127k Vol.
$266k Liq.
🔥$125k today
Ends in 9 days
E
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

38%

1000+

$148k Vol.
$145k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
Elon Musk # tweets September 24 - September 26, 2026?

55%

40-64

$17k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?

12%

December 31, 2026

$65k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
E
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

2%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?

34%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$125 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

8%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$394 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

8%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$200 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?

5%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

1%

Yes

$26k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?

25%

840-879

$215k Vol.
$148k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
E
Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?

Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?

50%

$900B-$1.00T

$27k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$707.4m Vol.
$51.9m Liq.
🔥$622k today
441
Ends in about 2 years
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

14%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.8m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$351k today
210
Ends in 6 months
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$708.5m Vol.
$59.9m Liq.
🔥$315k today
1,036
Ends in over 2 years