Merz Predictions & Odds· 285 markets

F
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$2.5m Vol.
$206k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

37%

None before 2027

$574k Vol.
$647k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

79%

Vladimir Putin

$1.1m Vol.
$231k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

95%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$174k Vol.
$117k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

96%

Jon Ossoff

$152k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

59%

Friedrich Merz

$547k Vol.
$54k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

25%

Yes

$72k Vol.
$153 Liq.
Ended
M
Merzlikin Valerii vs. Holoborodko Evhenii

Sports · Games

Merzlikin Valerii vs. Holoborodko Evhenii

51%

Merzlikin Valerii

$0 Vol.
$32 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
Merzlikin Valerii vs. Tiutiunnyk Maksym

Sports · Games

Merzlikin Valerii vs. Tiutiunnyk Maksym

50%

Merzlikin Valerii

$0 Vol.
$3 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
Merzlikin Valerii vs. Blashkun Oleksandr

Sports · Games

Merzlikin Valerii vs. Blashkun Oleksandr

33%

Merzlikin Valerii

$0 Vol.
$29 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
Merzlikin Valerii vs. Zozulia Artem

Sports · Games

Merzlikin Valerii vs. Zozulia Artem

51%

Merzlikin Valerii

$0 Vol.
$27 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
Maksiuta Volodymyr vs. Merzlikin Valerii

Sports · Games

Maksiuta Volodymyr vs. Merzlikin Valerii

50%

Maksiuta Volodymyr

$0 Vol.
$24 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
N
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

54%

No Next Chancellor before 2028

$44k Vol.
$300k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will Trump say during events with Chancellor Merz on March 3?

Percent 7+ times

$188k Vol.
$0 Liq.
34
Ended
W
What will Trump say during Merz events on June 5?

Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times

$551k Vol.
$0 Liq.
141
Ended
F
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?

No

$217k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Next leader out of power in 2025?

World · Geopolitics

Next leader out of power in 2025?

None in 2025

$2.2m Vol.
$7k Liq.
17
Ended
W
Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?

Mette Frederiksen

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump speak to in August?

Mohammed bin Salman

$128k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended