Mercury Prize Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

L
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury

Sports · Games

Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury

79%

Las Vegas Aces

$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
W
WNBA: 2026 Champion

WNBA · Basketball

WNBA: 2026 Champion

45%

Minnesota Lynx

$1.1m Vol.
$185k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

63%

December 31, 2027

$68k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

33%

December 31, 2028

$396k Vol.
$94k Liq.
13
Ends in over 2 years
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

75%

December 31, 2027

$284k Vol.
$20k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

59%

0

$151k Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

6%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$72 Vol.
$521 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$559 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

50%

Artist A

$21k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

15%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.8m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$78k today
210
Ends in 6 months
C
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Arcade Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs

30%

MARKandLARRY

$135 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
F
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

16%

December 31, 2026

$15k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
G
Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner

Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner

64%

Ella Langley

$20k Vol.
$46k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

53%

Hodge Conjecture

$185k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
2
2026 World Chess Championship: Winner

Chess · FIDE

2026 World Chess Championship: Winner

72%

Javokhir Sindarov

$84k Vol.
$734k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
C
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

20%

Rune Eaters

$5k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
G
Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner

Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner

50%

Placeholder a - TBD Artist

$60k Vol.
$33k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
C
Counter-Strike: PARTIZAN vs Fever Squad (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: PARTIZAN vs Fever Squad (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffs

57%

PARTIZAN

$0 Vol.
$644 Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
C
Cucerovschii Serghei vs. Ungurean Maxim

Sports · Games

Cucerovschii Serghei vs. Ungurean Maxim

50%

Cucerovschii Serghei

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended