Medal Count Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

13%

Yes

$32k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?

LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?

86%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$30k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

69%

80-99

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

37%

60-79

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

45%

80-99

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

45%

180-199

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

52%

200+

$633 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

38%

180-199

$6k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k Vol.
$272 Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

96%

China

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

97%

Trump

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
V
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?

79%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$13k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
B
Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?

Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?

53%

35-39

$70k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in about 4 hours
N
NYC Mayor # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

82%

20-39

$4k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

96%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$28k Vol.
$115k Liq.
3
Ends in about 4 hours
B
Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?

Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?

70%

29-31

$92k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in about 4 hours
W
Which party will win the Wisconsin State Senate in 2026?

91%

Democratic Party

$2k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
NYC Mayor # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

97%

20-39

$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month