Medal Count Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

10%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$681 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?

LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?

86%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

56%

80-99

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

37%

60-79

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

49%

100-119

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

49%

180-199

$11k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

50%

200+

$459 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

44%

200+

$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

92%

<5

$227 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

97%

<5

$17k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k Vol.
$138 Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

96%

China

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

99%

Trump

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

94%

<5

$6k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
N
NYC Mayor # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

78%

20-39

$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
V
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

41%

0

$119k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?

74%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$10k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
W
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?

12%

December 31, 2026

$65k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
B
Berlin State Elections: Linke # of seats?

Berlin State Elections: Linke # of seats?

52%

35-39

$55k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours