Medal Count Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

8%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?

LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?

86%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

91%

80-99

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

38%

60-79

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

50%

80-99

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

62%

200+

$15k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

59%

200+

$2k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

62%

200+

$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$453 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

95%

Iran

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
V
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?

91%

New People (NL)

$21k Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ended
B
Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?

98%

30-34

$82k Vol.
$25k Liq.
2
Ended
N
NYC Mayor # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

83%

20-39

$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

99%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$40k Vol.
$131k Liq.
2
Ended
B
Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?

98%

29-31

$104k Vol.
$46k Liq.
6
Ended
W
Which party will win the Wisconsin State Senate in 2026?

80%

Democratic Party

$2k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
NYC Mayor # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

95%

20-39

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
W
Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

23%

1000+

$105k Vol.
$126k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month