Medal Count Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

3%

Yes

$28k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?

LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?

86%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

46%

80-99

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

22%

80-99

$135 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

41%

100-119

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

57%

160-179

$10k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

43%

200+

$262 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

40%

180-199

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

92%

<5

$227 Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

97%

<5

$17k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k Vol.
$632 Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

97%

China

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

99%

Trump

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

94%

<5

$6k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
N
NYC Mayor # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

81%

20-39

$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
V
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

42%

0

$115k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?

52%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$9k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
W
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?

12%

December 31, 2026

$65k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
B
Berlin State Elections: Linke # of seats?

Berlin State Elections: Linke # of seats?

54%

35-39

$55k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours