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Mayoral Primary Predictions & Odds· 191 markets

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What will the margin be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?

$10k Vol.
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Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Politics·US Election

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Janeese Lewis George

$155k Vol.
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A
Andrew Cuomo 1st round % of vote in NYC Dem mayoral primary?

Politics·NYC Mayor

Andrew Cuomo 1st round % of vote in NYC Dem mayoral primary?

35–40%

$30k Vol.
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A
AP calls NYC Mayoral primary before 2 AM?

Politics·NYC Mayor

AP calls NYC Mayoral primary before 2 AM?

No

$37k Vol.
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B
Brad Lander 1st round % of vote in NYC Dem mayoral primary?

Politics·NYC Mayor

Brad Lander 1st round % of vote in NYC Dem mayoral primary?

9–12%

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3
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Zohran Mamdani 1st round % of vote in NYC Dem mayoral primary?

Politics·NYC Mayor

Zohran Mamdani 1st round % of vote in NYC Dem mayoral primary?

32+%

$67k Vol.
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3
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A
Andrew Cuomo 1st round MOV in NYC Dem mayoral primary?

Elections·NYC Mayor

Andrew Cuomo 1st round MOV in NYC Dem mayoral primary?

<5%

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7
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NYC Mayoral: 2nd Democratic Primary Debate Mentions

Mentions·NYC Mayor

NYC Mayoral: 2nd Democratic Primary Debate Mentions

Trump 15+ times

$38k Vol.
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10
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Turnout in NYC Mayoral Dem Primary?

Politics·NYC Mayor

Turnout in NYC Mayoral Dem Primary?

1M–1.1M

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24
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% of inactive ballots in NYC Mayor Dem Primary

Elections·NYC Mayor

% of inactive ballots in NYC Mayor Dem Primary

4–8%

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Who will win the Philadelphia Mayoral Democratic Primary?

All

Who will win the Philadelphia Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Cherelle Parker

$31k Vol.
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B
Baltimore Mayoral Democratic Primary Winner

Politics·U.S. Politics

Baltimore Mayoral Democratic Primary Winner

Brandon Scott

$38k Vol.
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1
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N
NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV

Politics·NYC Mayor

NYC Mayoral Dem Primary Mamdani MOV

12–13%

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NYC Mayoral Dem Primary: # of RCV rounds

Politics·New York City

NYC Mayoral Dem Primary: # of RCV rounds

3

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NYC Mayoral Dem Primary: Andrew Cuomo MOV

Politics·NYC Mayor

NYC Mayoral Dem Primary: Andrew Cuomo MOV

<5%

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Which NYC boroughs will Andrew Cuomo win in Democratic Primary?

Elections·NYC Mayor

Which NYC boroughs will Andrew Cuomo win in Democratic Primary?

Bronx

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NYC Mayor Dem Primary 1st round Winner

Politics·NYC Mayor

NYC Mayor Dem Primary 1st round Winner

Zohran Mamdani

$2.9m Vol.
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40
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N
NYC Mayoral: 1st Democratic Primary Debate Mentions

Politics·NYC Mayor

NYC Mayoral: 1st Democratic Primary Debate Mentions

Crime 10+ times

$198k Vol.
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17
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Will the NYC Democratic mayoral first round leader also win the primary?

All

Will the NYC Democratic mayoral first round leader also win the primary?

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Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee

Politics·mayor

Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee

David Morales

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1
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