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Macro Unemployment Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

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U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

Economy·CPI

US economic state at the end of 2026?

70%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$99k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Economy·Macro Indicators

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

4%

5.0%

$525k Vol.
$19k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

Economy·jobs

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

20%

7.4M to 7.5M

$25k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
W
What will Trump say during the College Football Roundtable on March 6?

Mentions·Trump

What will Trump say during the College Football Roundtable on March 6?

Million / Billion / Trillion 8+ times

$362 Vol.
$0 Liq.
50
Ended
J
January Unemployment Rate

Economy·Business

January Unemployment Rate

≤4.0%

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
P
Powell says "unemployment" 5+ times in FOMC statement?

Economy·powell

Powell says "unemployment" 5+ times in FOMC statement?

No

$38k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
November Unemployment Rate

Economy·Business

November Unemployment Rate

4.2%

$68k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
W

All

What will be the U-3 unemployment rate in January?

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
D
December Unemployment Rate

Economy·unemployment

December Unemployment Rate

≤4.1%

$54k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
J
January Unemployment Rate

Economy·Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

January Unemployment Rate

4.3%

$101k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
Unemployment rate over 4.2% in August?

Politics·Business

Unemployment rate over 4.2% in August?

No

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
J
July Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Indicators

July Unemployment Rate

4.2%

$38k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
May Unemployment Rate

Economy·Recurring

May Unemployment Rate

4.2%

$311k Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
A
April Unemployment Rate

Economy·Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

April Unemployment Rate

4.3%

$90k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
D
December Unemployment Rate

Economy·Jobs Report

December Unemployment Rate

≤4.4%

$74k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
March Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Indicators

March Unemployment Rate

4.3%

$308k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
J
June Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Indicators

June Unemployment Rate

4.1%

$189k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
U
Unemployment rate over 4.2% in September?

Economy·Business

Unemployment rate over 4.2% in September?

No

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 8 - September 15, 2026?

Politics·Tweet Markets

Zelenskyy # posts September 8 - September 15, 2026?

80-99

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
August Unemployment Rate

Economy·Macro Indicators

August Unemployment Rate

4.3%

$206k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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