Lula Predictions & Odds· 154 markets

B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?

42%

41-44%

$6k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
L
Lula participates in debate before first round?

51%

Yes

$26k Vol.
$922 Liq.
4
Ends in 13 days
W
Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

65%

December 31

$26k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

59%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$152.1m Vol.
$19.6m Liq.
🔥$303k today
19,182
Ends in 13 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

71%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$7.7m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$108k today
58
Ends in 13 days
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$392k Vol.
$615k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

69%

Lula

$166k Vol.
$393k Liq.
5
Ends in 13 days
W
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

98%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$666k Vol.
$273k Liq.
122
Ends in 13 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

53%

Renan Santos

$1.3m Vol.
$920k Liq.
144
Ends in 13 days
W
Who will Trump meet with in September?

Who will Trump meet with in September?

98%

Andy Burnham

$142k Vol.
$127k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

51%

Lula da Silva <5%

$523k Vol.
$438k Liq.
17
Ends in 13 days
W
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

91%

Delcy Rodríguez

$1.1m Vol.
$229k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

96%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$154k Vol.
$109k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

50%

Candidate A

$33k Vol.
$171k Liq.
4
Ends in 13 days
W
Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

50%

Candidate A

$30k Vol.
$48k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo

95%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$26k Vol.
$180k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

71%

Lula

$27k Vol.
$140k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso

97%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$10k Vol.
$168k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul

90%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$24k Vol.
$162k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amapá

56%

Lula

$20k Vol.
$211k Liq.
Ends in 13 days