Labor Department Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

W
What will Costco say during their next earnings call?

99%

Quarter 15+ times

$11k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
M
Mexico Legislative Election Winner

91%

Morena

$105k Vol.
$144k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

77%

PAN

$85k Vol.
$84k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner

71%

Liberal–National

$15k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

65%

One Nation

$22k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

50%

Labor

$4k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

24%

7.4M to 7.5M

$17k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

42%

4.1%

$23k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$13k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$253k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

10%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$496 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

38%

5.9%+

$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

67%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$97k Vol.
$6k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

39%

50k to 100k

$11k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
#
# of views of MrBeast video on day 6?

51%

65-66M

$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

75%

Democrats

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

98%

200+

$10k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

75%

200+

$3k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
D
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

18%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$937 Liq.
Ends in 3 months