Labor Department Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

W
What will Costco say during their next earnings call?

99%

Quarter 15+ times

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
M
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

77%

PAN

$85k Vol.
$125k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election Winner

91%

Morena

$105k Vol.
$206k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

64%

One Nation

$22k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner

71%

Liberal–National

$15k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

53%

Labor

$4k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

30%

7.1M to 7.2M

$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

39%

4.1%

$21k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$14k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$1000k Vol.
$266k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

10%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$420 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

42%

5.9%+

$14k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 22 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

67%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$96k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

38%

50k to 100k

$11k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
#
# of views of MrBeast video on day 5?

70%

60-61.25M

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

74%

Democrats

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

97%

200+

$8k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

63%

200+

$857 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
D
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

19%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$913 Liq.
Ends in 3 months