Insolvency Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

M
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

3%

Yes

$136k Vol.
$18k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$929 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

3%

RBC

$76k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$280k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

46%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$525 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$575k Vol.
$10k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$296 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

9%

Beyond Meat

$242k Vol.
$52k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?

8%

Yes

$138k Vol.
$25k Liq.
28
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

88%

↑ 100

$2.4m Vol.
$178k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

3%

Yes

$203k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

67%

↑ $6

$850k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$797k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

21%

December 31, 2029

$51k Vol.
$866k Liq.
1
Ends in over 3 years
C
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

23%

December 31, 2029

$51k Vol.
$685k Liq.
2
Ends in over 3 years
W
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

12%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$295 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: STATE vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: STATE vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Playoffs

40%

STATE

$0 Vol.
$480 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
E
EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · World

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

23%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$172 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

42%

↓ 0.40

$81k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
L
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

74%

FlyQuest

$10k Vol.
$150k Liq.
Ends in 2 days