Insolvency Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

M
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

4%

Yes

$135k Vol.
$18k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$929 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

3%

RBC

$76k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$982k Vol.
$304k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$866 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$572k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

10%

Workhorse

$242k Vol.
$53k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?

8%

Yes

$138k Vol.
$25k Liq.
28
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

92%

↑ 100

$2.4m Vol.
$176k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

3%

Yes

$203k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

66%

↑ $6

$848k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$796k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

21%

December 31, 2029

$51k Vol.
$816k Liq.
1
Ends in over 3 years
C
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

23%

December 31, 2029

$50k Vol.
$612k Liq.
2
Ends in over 3 years
C
Counter-Strike: ILLYRIANS vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: ILLYRIANS vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

50%

ILLYRIANS

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
W
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

14%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$48 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs STATE (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs STATE (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

50%

ex-Zero Tenacity

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 17 hours
E
EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · World

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

23%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$120 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 0.40

$79k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months