German Politics Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

W
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

59%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$415 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
M
MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Sports · Goals

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

79%

Lionel Messi

$955k Vol.
$55k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

55%

No Next Chancellor before 2028

$46k Vol.
$151k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
M
Michoacán Governor Election Winner

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

62%

Carlos Torres Piña

$58k Vol.
$295k Liq.
Ends in 8 months
B
Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?

97%

30-34

$82k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ended
W
Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

91%

Grüne

$17k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?

99%

29-31

$105k Vol.
$20k Liq.
7
Ended
B
Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

98%

Up

$3k Vol.
$83 Liq.
Ended
W
Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

49%

AfD

$44k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?

0%

Over

$136k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ended
B
Berlin 2026 Election: How Large Will the Abgeordnetenhaus Be?

99%

158–162

$30k Vol.
$58k Liq.
3
Ended
F
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$2.7m Vol.
$171k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: SPD # of seats?

97%

26-29

$88k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ended
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

99%

32-35

$76k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ended
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

100%

Up

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
W
Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

96%

SPD

$17k Vol.
$60k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$266k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

64%

Ulrich Siegmund

$362k Vol.
$151k Liq.
11
Ends in 8 months
N
Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

78%

Elif Eralp

$201k Vol.
$56k Liq.
7
Ends in 8 months