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General Tariff Predictions & Odds· 176 markets

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U
U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

Politics·China

U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

29%

25–35%

$291 Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

Economy·Trump

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

12%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
S
Schmidtmayer Frantisek vs. Chadima Ondrej

Sports · Games

Schmidtmayer Frantisek vs. Chadima Ondrej

49%

Schmidtmayer Frantisek

$0 Vol.
$4 Liq.
Ended
U
Urechean Vadim vs. Ghimp Fiodor

Sports · Games

Urechean Vadim vs. Ghimp Fiodor

50%

Urechean Vadim

$0 Vol.
$41 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
U
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

Politics·gas

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

42%

October 31

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Trump say during his United Nations meetings?

Culture·Trump

What will Trump say during his United Nations meetings?

87%

Zelensky

$6k Vol.
$422 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?

Yes

$79k Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
Ended
H
How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?

Politics·Trade War

How large will Trump's EU tariffs be?

20-30%

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
37
Ended
W
What will Trump say during Pennsylvania events on December 9?

Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during Pennsylvania events on December 9?

Job 20+ times

$274k Vol.
$0 Liq.
50
Ended
W
What will NVIDIA say during their next earnings call?

Finance·Earnings Calls

What will NVIDIA say during their next earnings call?

Gaming

$75k Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

Politics·China

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?

5–15%

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on April 30?

Politics·Trade War

U.S. tariff rate on China on April 30?

100-150%

$360k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on May 31?

Politics·China

U.S. tariff rate on China on May 31?

<50%

$371k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
W
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

Politics·Trade War

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?

Yes

$74k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
N
New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?

World·Trump

New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?

Yes

$200k Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on August 15?

Politics·Trump

U.S. tariff rate on China on August 15?

25-40%

$2.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
Ended
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?

Politics·Trump Presidency

U.S. tariff rate on China on November 12, 2025?

<25%

$1.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
124
Ended
1
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Economy·China

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

No

$87k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
1
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

Politics·Tariffs

100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

No

$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
47
Ended
W
Which countries will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for by Feb 1?

Politics·Greenland

Which countries will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for by Feb 1?

Denmark

$417k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended

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