Gavin Newsom Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

G
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

14%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

12%

Yes

$94k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

18%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1283.9m Vol.
$76.5m Liq.
🔥$319k today
834
Ends in about 2 years
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$708.8m Vol.
$60.1m Liq.
🔥$304k today
1,037
Ends in over 2 years
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

37%

None before 2027

$572k Vol.
$630k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

20%

John Brennan

$452k Vol.
$441k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$18k Vol.
$119k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
D
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

14%

Gavin Newsom

$1.1m Vol.
$718k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

87%

Andy Beshear

$88k Vol.
$349k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
#
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

50%

Person 3

$180k Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
D
Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

11%

Gretchen Whitmer

$100k Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$95k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

95%

Xavier Becerra

$41.3m Vol.
$6.7m Liq.
87
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Governor Election: Turnout

California Governor Election: Turnout

38%

13M-13.5M

$6k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

95%

Fiona Ma

$31k Vol.
$118k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner

53%

Xavier Becerra

$6k Vol.
$306 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition

53%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
N
Nevada Governor Election: Washoe County Winner

65%

Aaron Ford (D)

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition

53%

Yes

$826 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months