Fivethirtyeight Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

W
Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

76%

Texas

$69k Vol.
$193k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

80%

Democrats

$3k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

37%

Michigan

$5k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

27%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$32 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

95%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring D/STs

NFL (All) · Sports

Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring D/STs

50%

Broncos D/ST

$0 Vol.
$60 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

14%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$49 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

38%

September 15

$1k Vol.
$156 Liq.
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W
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

51%

↓ $7,400

$374k Vol.
$104k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$947 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
S
Senate control favorite on November 2?

Senate control favorite on November 2?

49%

Democratic Party

$0 Vol.
$69 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

54%

12%

$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
H
House control favorite on November 2?

House control favorite on November 2?

96%

Democratic Party

$30 Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$60 Vol.
$622 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$951k Vol.
$147k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
G
GA-05 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
WA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

WA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$0 Vol.
$554 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What price will LAB hit in 2026?

What price will LAB hit in 2026?

6%

↑ $22

$46k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

80%

40%

$623 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month