Fed Predictions & Odds· 996 markets

F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

53%

25 bps increase

$10.3m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

68%

25 bps increase

$1.2m Vol.
$846k Liq.
🔥$89k today
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.2m Vol.
$4.3m Liq.
🔥$62k today
121
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

86%

Yes

$126k Vol.
$268k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

63%

2 (50 bps)

$605k Vol.
$272k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

38%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$104k Vol.
$192k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

3%

Yes

$236k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

52%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m Vol.
$182k Liq.
31
Ends in over 1 year
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$110k Vol.
$500k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
H
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

47%

0

$20k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

42%

0

$7k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

33%

0

$16k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

11%

Yes

$448k Vol.
$4k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
L
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

5%

December 31

$24k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

10%

June 30, 2027

$48k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

11%

December 31

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

96%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

53%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
$435k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months