Fed Predictions & Odds· 162 markets

F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

55%

25 bps increase

$7.8m Vol.
$2.6m Liq.
🔥$98k today
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.0m Vol.
$3.9m Liq.
🔥$55k today
121
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

68%

25 bps increase

$1.1m Vol.
$649k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

60%

2 (50 bps)

$533k Vol.
$137k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

36%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$90k Vol.
$149k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

45%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m Vol.
$134k Liq.
31
Ends in 4 months
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

57%

No change

$94k Vol.
$298k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

84%

Yes

$47k Vol.
$197k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

10%

June 30, 2027

$48k Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

3%

Yes

$231k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

50%

0

$4k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

27%

3

$10k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

10%

December 31

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

20%

Yes

$447k Vol.
$3k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
H
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

24%

2

$8k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

5%

December 31

$23k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

96%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

54%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
$435k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months