Fed Rates Predictions & Odds· 159 markets

F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

66%

25 bps increase

$12.8m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$1.7m today
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

72%

25 bps increase

$1.3m Vol.
$815k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$115k Vol.
$425k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

98%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

46%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$135k Vol.
$205k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

49%

2 (50 bps)

$673k Vol.
$234k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.3m Vol.
$4.0m Liq.
122
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

90%

↑ 4.25%

$1.9m Vol.
$384k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

53%

≥ 4.5%

$6.9m Vol.
$447k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

31%

4.75%

$2k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

92%

Yes

$168k Vol.
$259k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

48%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m Vol.
$167k Liq.
31
Ends in over 1 year
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

2%

Yes

$238k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Interest Rates December 2022

All

Fed Interest Rates December 2022

$95k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended
W
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?

No

$97k Vol.
$1 Liq.
3
Ended
F
Fed Interest Rates May 2022

All

Fed Interest Rates May 2022

$63k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended
F
Fed Interest Rates February 2023

All

Fed Interest Rates February 2023

$89k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended
F
Fed Interest Rates June 2022

All

Fed Interest Rates June 2022

$371k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended
F
Fed Interest Rates: January 2024

Fed Interest Rates: January 2024

0 bps increase?

$83k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended
F
Fed Interest Rates November 2022

All

Fed Interest Rates November 2022

$107k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended