Fed Rates Predictions & Odds· 222 markets

F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

67%

25 bps increase

$13.1m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

72%

25 bps increase

$1.3m Vol.
$859k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$116k Vol.
$488k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

98%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

48%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$136k Vol.
$199k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

49%

2 (50 bps)

$677k Vol.
$259k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

97%

0 (0 bps)

$53.4m Vol.
$4.2m Liq.
🔥$116k today
122
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

90%

↑ 4.25%

$1.9m Vol.
$345k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

42%

4.1%

$23k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
F
Fed Interest Rates December 2022

All

Fed Interest Rates December 2022

$95k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended
W
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?

No

$97k Vol.
$1 Liq.
3
Ended
F
Fed Interest Rates May 2022

All

Fed Interest Rates May 2022

$63k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended
F
Fed Interest Rates February 2023

All

Fed Interest Rates February 2023

$89k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended
F
Fed Interest Rates June 2022

All

Fed Interest Rates June 2022

$371k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended
F
Fed Interest Rates: January 2024

Fed Interest Rates: January 2024

0 bps increase?

$83k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended
F
Fed Interest Rates November 2022

All

Fed Interest Rates November 2022

$107k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended
F
Fed Interest Rates March 2022

All

Fed Interest Rates March 2022

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended
F
Fed Interest Rates: September 2023

All

Fed Interest Rates: September 2023

0 bps increase?

$90k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended
W
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?

No

$273k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
Fed Interest Rates March 2023

All

Fed Interest Rates March 2023

25 bps increase after March meeting?

$455k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6,519
Ended