Fed Rates Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

66%

25 bps increase

$11.2m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$1.2m today
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

70%

25 bps increase

$1.3m Vol.
$739k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$111k Vol.
$370k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

98%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

38%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$120k Vol.
$219k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

87%

↑ 4.25%

$1.9m Vol.
$400k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

55%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
$510k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

56%

2 (50 bps)

$632k Vol.
$228k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

91%

Yes

$149k Vol.
$180k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

49%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m Vol.
$189k Liq.
31
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

97%

0 (0 bps)

$53.3m Vol.
$4.2m Liq.
121
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

2%

Yes

$238k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

51%

0

$20k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

44%

0

$7k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

90%

↑ 7.00%

$91k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

63%

↓ 0.0030

$193k Vol.
$17k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Russia decision in December?

Bank of Russia decision in December?

43%

No change

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

68%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$96k Vol.
$4k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1000k Vol.
$270k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months