Fed Chair Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

W
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

10%

June 30, 2027

$48k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

98%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

11%

Yes

$448k Vol.
$3k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

1%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

10%

December 31

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

5%

December 31

$25k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

40%

0

$20k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?

Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?

5%

Yes

$28k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

43%

0

$19k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
H
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

44%

0

$7k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
2
2026 Fulton County Commission Chair Election Winner

96%

Mo Ivory

$21k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

72%

25 bps increase

$1.3m Vol.
$870k Liq.
🔥$50k today
Ends in 3 months
K
Ken Martin out as DNC Chair by...?

DNC · Ken Martin

Ken Martin out as DNC Chair by...?

43%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$192 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Chashchin Fedir vs. Boltnekov Denys

Sports · Games

Chashchin Fedir vs. Boltnekov Denys

50%

Chashchin Fedir

$0 Vol.
$27 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

69%

25 bps increase

$12.0m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$1.6m today
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

51%

≥ 4.5%

$6.9m Vol.
$462k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in January?

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$112k Vol.
$449k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

18%

4.75%

$996 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

2%

Yes

$238k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months