Electoral Votes Tags Politics Predictions & Odds· 1014 markets

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
M
Maryland Governor Election: Turnout

Maryland Governor Election: Turnout

36%

1.85M-2M

$6k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
H
Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout

Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout

39%

370K-400K

$13k Vol.
$84k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
N
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

26%

National 0-5%

$20k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Governor Election: Turnout

California Governor Election: Turnout

35%

13M-13.5M

$7k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
Montana Senate Election: Turnout

Montana Senate Election: Turnout

59%

500K-550K

$6k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Arizona Governor Election: Turnout

Arizona Governor Election: Turnout

35%

2.6M-2.75M

$11k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout

42%

1.3M-1.4M

$7k Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

99%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
P
Pennsylvania Governor Election: Turnout

Pennsylvania Governor Election: Turnout

46%

5M-5.5M

$10k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Wisconsin Governor Election: Turnout

Wisconsin Governor Election: Turnout

38%

2.6M-2.8M

$11k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
N
New York Governor Election: Turnout

New York Governor Election: Turnout

45%

5.5M-6M

$6k Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
I
Israel Election: Together vote share?

Israel Election: Together vote share?

38%

9-11%

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
I
Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory

Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$18k Vol.
$104k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

39%

4.25M-4.5M

$11k Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
V
Vermont Governor Election: Turnout

Vermont Governor Election: Turnout

36%

325K-350K

$9k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
I
Israel Election: Unity vote share?

Israel Election: Unity vote share?

99%

<0.5%

$2k Vol.
$42k Liq.
4
Ends in 29 days
P
Pennsylvania Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$84k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Augusto Cury Vote Share?

41%

4-6%

$17k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 6 days