Election Rigging Response Act Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

T
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

17%

Yes

$200k Vol.
$13k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?

5%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

46%

Yes

$373 Vol.
$819 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
R
Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?

100%

55-60%

$82k Vol.
$107k Liq.
Ended
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

32%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$359 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

36%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$170 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

73%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$47 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

32%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$334 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Nigerian House of Representatives Election Winner

76%

APC

$6k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
C
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition

50%

Yes

$754 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

6%

Yes

$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

28%

115-120m

$31k Vol.
$104k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
ME-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

39%

Michigan

$5k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
R
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

99%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$32k Liq.
8
Ended
I
IN-05 House Election Winner

IN-05 House Election Winner

85%

Victoria Spartz (R)

$29k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
ME-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$7k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

44%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months